Monday, May 24, 2010

US GPD: A nearly perfect parabola



Is this graph just scaled against the US economy or does the US have nearly perfect economic growth?

I'm no economist so can someone explain why the US GPD behaves in a nearly perfect parabola? The line is too perfect, it reminds me of Madoff's performance vs. Possible Replications on page 4:
http://www.riskdata.com/files/news/Madoff_Bias_Ratio.pdf


It is interesting that the rest of the worlds economies show similar positive and negative trends over time indicating an
interdependence between the world economies. Nearly every  country suffers from shared global economic cycles with exception of the US? Even countries like Mexico and Canada follow world trends but not the US. Many countries also go negative many times relative to their own prices for longer periods than the US ever does even in years commonly accepted as US recessions.

Update: The good news is that the new numbers are in and they aim to prove me wrong. The bad news is that for the first time in recent history the US's GDP has significantly declined between 2007 and 2008.

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